Routes to the B1G West Title (excluding 3-way ties)

I’ve uploaded a spreadsheet which includes all potential routes to the B1G West Title. Take a look:

UPDATE***: I fixed a few errors in the spreadsheet and in the article below. A previous version stated their were five “routes” to a 3-way tie when there are in fact only three routes to that result.

CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD SPREADSHEET WITH COLORS AND CHARTS AND STUFF: “B1G West Title Routes – UPDATED

Routes to the B1G West Title by team (excluding 3-way ties):
Nebraska 17
Minnesota 19
Wisconsin 17
Iowa 8
Routes assuming Nebraska beats Wisconsin, all else the same:
Nebraska 15
Minnesota 9
Wisconsin 2
Iowa 4
Routes assuming Wisconsin beats Nebraska, all else the same:
Nebraska 2
Minnesota 9
Wisconsin 15
Iowa 5
Key Gophers Takeaways
If the Gophers beat Ohio State this weekend Minnesota has 12 routes to a division title (excluding 3-way ties). If the Gophers lose they have 7 routes.
If the Gophers lose to Ohio State this weekend, all 7 routes to a title involve beating both Nebraska and Wisconsin on the road.
NEBRASKA VS WISCONSIN HAS HUGE IMPLICATIONS:
If Wisconsin beats Nebraska this weekend Wisconsin has 15 routes to a division title (excluding 3-way ties). If they lose they only have 2 routes.
If Nebraska beats Wisconsin this weekend Nebraska has 15 routes to a division title (excluding 3-way ties). If they lose they have 2 routes.
There are three*** scenarios in which the B1G West finishes in a three-way tie. Tiebreakers get incredibly complicated, but here are the rules pulled directly from the Big Ten website:

“(b)    If three or more teams are tied, steps 1 through 7 will be followed until a determination is made.  If only two teams remain tied after any step, the winner of the game between the two tied teams shall be the representative.
1.    The records of the three tied teams will be compared against each other.
2.    The records of the three tied teams will be compared within their division.
3.    The records of the three teams will be compared against the next highest placed teams in their division in order of finish (4, 5, and 6).
4.    The records of the three teams will be compared against all common conference opponents.
5.    The highest ranked team in the first College Football Playoff poll following the completion of Big Ten regular season conference play shall be the representative in the Big Ten Championship Game, unless the two highest ranked tied teams are ranked within one spot of each other in the College Football Playoff poll.  In this case, the head-to-head results of the top two ranked tied teams shall determine the representative in the Big Ten Championship Game.
6.    The team with the best overall winning percentage [excluding exempted games] shall be the representative.
7.    The representative will be chosen by random draw.”
If a 3-way tie were to occur the tiebreaker would move to #3 , as the teams involved in each of the scenarios would have head-to-head records of 1-1 and multiple teams (if not all 3) would have division records of 5-2.
The wording in “Tiebreaker 3” above is kind of ambiguous. Are the records of the three teams tied compared against the 4th place finisher? Or is the tie broken by comparing the teams’ cumulative records against the teams who finish 4-6?
It’s past midnight and I’m confused. We’ll fight that battle next week.

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